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Hydrogen

Report: DNV revises down mid-century hydrogen outlook by 35%

DNV has revised down its mid-century hydrogen outlook since its previous hydrogen forecast in 2022 due to a lack of policy support which has led to early ambition failing to convert to large-scale projects.

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Report: DNV revises down mid-century hydrogen outlook by 35%

The hydrogen industry has faced several challenges in recent years and this is reflected in DNV’s latest  Energy Transition Outlook Hydrogen to 2060 report, the classification society said on Tuesday (12 May). 

DNV said it has revised down its mid-century hydrogen outlook by 35% since its previous hydrogen forecast in 2022 primarily due to a lack of policy support which has led to early ambition failing to convert to large-scale projects. 

The forecast also reflected continued progress in electrification technologies, which has reduced hydrogen’s role in some sectors previously expected to adopt it.  

DNV still forecasted that clean hydrogen will grow 100-fold from today’s levels by 2060.

Overall hydrogen volumes will grow by 170% and will see cumulative investments of USD 3.2trn to 2060. China is set to lead that expansion, accounting for 35% of new hydrogen production and use over the forecast period.

Clean hydrogen uptake is expected to be strongest in emerging demand sectors by 2060, led by steelmaking (18% of total clean hydrogen use), aviation (18%) and maritime (15%). The established demand sectors, fertilizer and methanol, are also decarbonizing large parts of their supply chains and are each expected to account for around 13% of clean hydrogen use. 

“The hydrogen industry is poised for growth, but it is a fragile stance. Hydrogen completes the most difficult aspects of the decarbonization drive that so many nations have committed to. In driving fossil dependency out of critical sectors, hydrogen also contributes meaningfully to energy security. It is time for policymakers to study carefully the practical progress that has been made and to act decisively,” said Ditlev Engel, CEO, Energy Systems at DNV. 

DNV forecasted that half of new renewable electrolysis-based capacity added by 2030 will be installed in Europe and China. China holds 60% of global electrolyser manufacturing capacity and it will couple this with its solar and wind capacity to become the dominant global renewable hydrogen producer. 

Energy security becoming a decisive driver 

Energy security will likely emerge as a decisive driver of hydrogen investment and policy, as governments in energy importing countries seek to reduce exposure to volatile fossil fuel markets and protect critical industries. The current geopolitical situation is accelerating final investment decisions, with 10 Mt/yr of renewable electrolysis-based capacity added by 2030 on top of 1.5 Mt/yr installed in 2025. Additionally, instability in the Middle East will likely boost coal-based hydrogen used for ammonia and fertilizer production in the medium-term to maintain food security.  

Closing the safety confidence gap 

DNV also warned that growth depends on closing a safety confidence gap and documenting emissions reductions credibly. Lessons from pilots are informing industrial-scale design and procedures, but scaling is not a copy-and-paste exercise for either cost or safety assumptions. Stronger standardization and whole-system approaches to safety, verification, and certification are needed to build trust and enable substantial investment capital. 

“Going forward, it is about fine-tuning the regulations, implementing these in legislation, and verifying safety concepts, documenting technical performance, and certifying emission reductions. That is how renewable and low carbon hydrogen can make a difference for hard-to-electrify sectors,” said Magnus Killingland, Global Segment Lead Hydrogen.

 

Photo credit: DNV
Published: 12 May, 2026

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Alternative Fuels

UK Chamber of Shipping releases industry-first safety evidence base for alternative bunker fuels

Publication provides preliminary, high-level risk assessments covering five key marine fuel pathways: Battery Energy Storage Systems, biofuels, methanol, hydrogen and ammonia.

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RESIZED Chris Pagan

The UK Chamber of Shipping on Monday (3 August) published Alternative Fuels: Building the Safety Evidence Base, a report bringing together industry expertise to identify and assess the safety considerations associated with the fuels expected to power shipping’s transition to net zero.

Developed through the Chamber’s Safety of Alternative Fuels Working Group (SAFWG), the publication provides preliminary, high-level risk assessments covering five key fuel pathways: Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS), biofuels, methanol, hydrogen and ammonia. 

Francesco Sandrelli, Policy Director (Environment) at the UK Chamber of Shipping, said: “Shipping is on a critical pathway to net zero. New fuels and energy sources are moving from pilot projects to commercial reality, but safety, standards and operational readiness must keep pace.

“There is no single fuel that will decarbonise shipping. Different vessel types, trades and operating environments will require different solutions. What is essential is that the transition takes place safely. This publication is an important step towards achieving that goal.”

Among the report’s key findings is the need for robust design and process safety frameworks to support the commercial deployment of alternative fuels. The research also highlights a number of cross-cutting themes, including material compatibility, emergency response preparedness, crew training and competence, and the need for clearer regulatory pathways. 

The report represents a major collaborative effort by industry to build a shared understanding of the opportunities and challenges associated with alternative marine fuels. It provides practical insights into the known risks, highlights where further work is needed, and creates a foundation for future research, regulation and operational learning. 

The SAFWG was established by the UK Chamber of Shipping to support industry understanding of the safety implications associated with emerging zero and near-zero emission fuels. 

The report is the culmination of the Working Group’s first year of activity, during which more than 200 participants from over 50 organisations collaborated through a series of technical workshops delivered by Policy Director Francesco Sandrelli, supported by Robert Merrylees and Paul Markides. 

The publication forms part of the UK Chamber’s wider work to support shipping’s transition to net zero while maintaining the highest standards of safety and operational excellence. 

Future work by the SAFWG will focus on identifying regulatory and knowledge gaps, developing project-specific case studies, expanding stakeholder engagement and establishing an incident and lessons-learned database. 

Note: The report, Alternative Fuels: Building the Safety Evidence Base, can be found here

 

Photo credit: Chris Pagan on Unsplash
Published: 4 August, 2026

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Alternative Fuels

EC clears EUR 103 mil Dutch funding for renewable methanol and hydrogen-powered ships

Scheme will support purchase of vessels powered by renewable methanol or renewable hydrogen and retrofitting of existing vessels to enable them to use renewable methanol and renewable hydrogen.

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Guillaume Périgois on Unsplash

The European Commission recently said it has approved a EUR 103 million (USD 119 million) State aid scheme by the Netherlands to accelerate the greening of the Dutch maritime fleet. 

The scheme will support the purchase of new clean and zero-emission vessels powered by renewable methanol or renewable hydrogen and the retrofitting of existing vessels to enable them to use renewable methanol and renewable hydrogen. 

It covers different types of vessels, including passenger, cargo and work vessels, mainly operating in the short-sea shipping segment. The support will take the form of direct grants awarded under an open, transparent and non-discriminatory selection process.

The scheme aims to help companies overcome high upfront investment costs and limited market incentives that currently slow the uptake of clean shipping technologies. The aid will be granted between 2027 and 2031 and will help bridge the investment gap in line with the objectives of EU legislation such as the FuelEU Maritime and the EU Emission Trading System.

The Commission assessed the measure under EU State aid rules, in particular Article 107(3)(c) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the EU and the 2022 Climate, Environmental Protection and Energy Aid Guidelines (CEEAG). 

“The Commission concluded that the scheme is necessary and appropriate as the supported investments would not take place without public support at the same scale and within the same timeframe. The measure is also proportionate as it has limited effects on competition and trade in the internal market,” it said. 

 

Photo credit: Guillaume Périgois on Unsplash
Published: 3 August, 2026

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Technology

Genevos and Koedood Marine Group team up on maritime hydrogen fuel cell deployment

Collaboration will explore how ready-to-use marine fuel cell systems can support shipowners and shipyards in the transition towards zero-emission operations.

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Genevos and Koedood Marine Group team up on maritime hydrogen fuel cell deployment

Marine fuel cell systems provider Genevos recently said the company signed a Letter of Intent (LOI) with engine supplier Koedood Marine Group to explore the deployment of hydrogen fuel cell systems for inland and coastal maritime transport. 

The LOI was signed by Phil Sharp, co-founder and CTO of Genevos, and Mühlheim, Business Development Director of Koedood Marine Group during the 2026 Advanced Maritime Technology Show in Amsterdam.

Building on Koedood’s proven experience in hydrogen maritime projects – including its ongoing work with Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and TNO on hydrogen engine development – the collaboration will explore how ready-to-use marine fuel cell systems can support shipowners and shipyards in the transition towards zero-emission operations. 

“Koedood has a strong reputation in the maritime sector and a deep understanding of vessel operators’ needs. This LOI is an important step in exploring how Genevos’ hydrogen fuel cell systems can be deployed more widely across inland and maritime applications, helping shipowners reduce onboard emissions with robust, practical and scalable clean power solutions,” said Sharp.

The collaboration aligns with growing market demand for rapidly deployable hydrogen solutions and the wider need to accelerate the adoption of zero-emission technologies across the maritime sector. 

“With this collaboration, we are further strengthening our portfolio of maritime energy solutions. Together with Genevos, we are exploring how we can support our customers in the adoption of hydrogen technology,” said Mühlheim.

 

Photo credit: Genevos
Published: 20 July, 2026

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