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VPS: Rising fuel quality issues linked to rising fuel costs

Pearson Correlation Coefficient value of 0.701 shows rise of crude oil price leading to reduced bunker fuel quality and an increase of marine fuel off-specs.

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Steve Bee, Group Commercial & Business Development Director of marine fuels testing company VPS, recently shared his thoughts with Singapore bunkering publication Manifold Times on the relationship between the price of crude oil and bunker fuel quality. 

13 June, 2022

Over the past few years, the world appears to have moved from one crisis to the next. Most recently, the COVID pandemic causing huge global disruption and restrictions to people and businesses, followed by the recent Russia-Ukrainian conflict and concerns over the innocent loss of lives and the greater worry of potential escalating conflict.

For global shipping, both of these events have given rise to many additional challenges to which ship owners and operators have either had to overcome or continue to tackle.

One key concern for the industry is the escalating cost of fuel due, in the main,to the Russian-Ukrainian war, an issue which is also impacting upon every walk of life. For shipping, the cost of fuel has always been the major cost in relation to every single voyage and the demand for good quality fuel, at competitive prices, remains paramount, especially in these times of significantly increased costs.

However, in a recent in-depth study carried out by VPS during Q1-2022, a strong correlation between crude oil price and bunker fuel off-specs was identified. Based on data covering the past 10 years and using a huge dataset of our 1.2 million fuel samples tested during this period, a correlation can be shown, which is graphically illustrated in Graph 1:

VPS: Rising fuel quality issues linked to rising fuel costs

The relationship between the price of crude oil and bunker fuel quality (measured by the number of off-spec samples) was measured using the Pearson Correlation Coefficient giving a value of 0.701, indicating a strong correlation. This correlation shows that an increase in crude oil price will result in reduced bunker fuel quality and an increase in marine fuel off-specs.

In recent weeks, VPS has seen an increase in the number of Bunker Alerts (BAs) issued corresponding with crude oil price, with a 60% increase this year versus the corresponding period in 2021. It should be noted that VPS only issues a BA when we have an off-spec parameter for 3 vessels within one week for the same port and parameter. The BAs that we have issued in 2022 have been across a range of 8 different ports for 9 different parameters and for the different bunker fuel types of VLSFO, HSFO and MGO. This suggests a general reduction in fuel quality across geographies caused by different factors and fuel types.

A good example of the type of -spec parameter that we have identified resulted in a major marine fuel quality issue identified in Singapore. This quality issue was in relation to chemical contamination of HSFO fuel delivered to over 200 vessels, which caused major operational problems to approximately 80 vessels. VPS led the way in identifying and quantifying the specific contaminants as several chlorinated hydrocarbons and assisted its customers in overcoming the subsequent issues of receiving and in many cases burning this affected fuel. The fuel had been supplied by two suppliers, with one actually providing the other with this contaminated product. It is alleged the first supplier blended a contaminated cutter stock to HSFO fuel, prior to it being sold.

VPS can only stress that the asset protection provided by proactive fuel management and testing has never been so important in protecting vessels from damage. Therefore, ISO8217 testing, plus chemical screening by GCMS-Headspace analysis, additional coldflow properties testing, such as wax appearance temperature (WAT) testing and routine fuel system checks (FSC), can provide even greater added-value to ship owners and operators, at a time of great uncertainty and increased risk, with respect marine fuel purchase and usage. 

Related: VPS provides update on bunker fuel contamination cases in Singapore
Related: VPS identifies potential bunker fuel contamination crisis unfolding at Singapore

 

Photo credit: VPS
Published: 14 June, 2022

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Business

Singapore: Maritime Census 2023 survey deadline extended to 23 October 

‘MPA is conducting an annual survey to collect timely statistics on the maritime industry’s activities, technology, sustainability and manpower developments,’ says the port authority.

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SG bunker tanker sailing Photo by Manifold Times

The Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore (MPA) on Wednesday (27 September) said the Maritime Census 2023 survey deadline has been extended to 23 October. 

“MPA is conducting an annual survey to collect timely statistics on the maritime industry’s activities, technology, sustainability and manpower developments,” it said in a social media post. 

Maritime firms selected for the survey will be notified by email or post to complete the survey online via go.gov.sg/mpasurvey

“Your participation will help us shape policies and programmes that will drive #MaritimeSG forward,” it added. 

Manifold Times previously reported MPA announcing it was conducting the census to collect timely statistics. 

Related: Singapore: MPA conducts Maritime Census 2023 to collect timely statistics

Photo credit: Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore
Published: 28 September, 2023

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Alternative Fuels

GCMD, BCG survey highlights three maritime decarbonisation archetypes

Survey identified three decarbonisation archetypes within the shipping industry, differentiated in their outlook, investment appetite and the challenges faced.

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RESIZED Venti Views on Unsplash ship vessel

The Global Centre for Maritime Decarbonisation (GCMD) and Boston Consulting Group (BCG) conducted an industry survey to take stock of shipowners and operators’ progress in establishing six elements needed for the shipping industry to reach net zero, according to BCG on Wednesday (27 September). 

The survey saw strong participation from 128 shipowners and operators across vessel types, fleet sizes and geographies, which collectively own or operate 14,000 merchant vessels, and account for USD500 billion in revenue.

The duo found high decarbonisation ambitions: Most respondents viewed net zero as a strategic priority, and 77% had already set concrete decarbonisation targets. The industry has also mobilised resources to decarbonise: respondents are investing 2% of their revenues into green initiatives, and 87% have personnel working toward green objectives.

The path to net zero for shipowners and operators requires six elements:

  • A robust strategy and roadmap
  • Four specific decarbonisation levers to reduce emissions: operational efficiency, technological efficiency, fuel transition, and shipboard carbon capture
  • Enablers such as dedicated sustainability teams, strategic investments in green initiatives, internal carbon prices, and digitalization

While the industry has made some progress in adopting mature and cost-effective efficiency levers, adoption of complex or nascent levers remains low. Drop-in green fuels are constrained by costs and supply-side gaps, and optimism for future cleaner fuels is yet to translate into firm commitment.

The industry is now at a pivotal point, with many shipowners and operators ramping up their decarbonisation efforts. Three-quarters of respondents plan to increase investments in green initiatives. Stakeholders can build on this momentum with a variety of supportive actions. But to be effective, they need to tailor their interventions to address the specific challenges that shipowners and operators face at each stage of decarbonisation.

Three Decarbonisation Archetypes

GCMD and BCG saw three archetypes, differentiated in their outlook, investment appetite, and the challenges faced.

Frontrunners have the greatest ambitions and are willing to invest heavily. They are pushing boundaries, adopting even nascent decarbonisation levers, such as wind propulsion and air lubrication. A majority plan to pilot shipboard carbon capture solutions by 2025. Frontrunners are also planning to adopt methanol and ammonia as early as 2026 and 2029 respectively, and the availability of fuels and bunkering infrastructure will be critical to enabling adoption.

Followers believe in decarbonising their fleets, but have tighter investment thresholds and a near-term outlook. They have kept pace with Frontrunners in adopting mature and cost-effective efficiency levers, such as main engine improvements and slow steaming, but are behind in the adoption of nascent levers, such as wind propulsion and air lubrication.

Conservatives are still early in their decarbonisation journey, likely due to a lack of awareness and familiarity with the various decarbonisation levers, and the capabilities to assess and deploy them. They are best supported by measures that increase their familiarity with the levers and help contextualise them to their specific fleets and operational requirements.

The research highlights five key actions for stakeholders:

Conduct technical pilots and facilitate data sharing, especially for nascent levers

  • Create innovative financing mechanisms to de-risk adoption of less mature levers
  • Raise awareness, contextualize levers, and build capabilities, especially among Conservatives
  • Start to build out future fuels infrastructure at ports
  • Develop mechanisms to equalize and share the costs of levers across the ecosystem
  • Maritime decarbonization is a complex, critical endeavor. The successful implementation of these five key actions demands a whole-of-value-chain approach. By working together, stakeholders can transform the maritime sector into a beacon of environmental stewardship, and set a course for a greener future where decarbonization and commercial success go hand in hand.

Note: The GCMD-BCG Global Maritime Decarbonisation Survey report can be downloaded here.

Photo credit: Venti Views on Unsplash
Published: 28 September, 2023

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Ammonia

Itochu enters MoU with firms for study of ammonia bunkering safety for container carrier

Through this cooperation, several companies and organisations will come together to discuss and study safety issues during ammonia bunkering of a container carrier that uses ammonia as a bunker fuel.

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Itochu enters MoU with firms for study of ammonia bunkering safety for container carrier

Tokyo-based Itochu Corporation on Tuesday (22 September) said it has executed a Memorandum of Understanding for a joint study of ammonia bunkering safety for an ammonia-fuelled container carrier among eight companies and organisations with the aim of implementing the use of ammonia as a bunker fuel in shipping industry. 

Through this cooperation, several companies and organisations will come together to discuss and study safety issues during ammonia bunkering of a container carrier that uses ammonia as a main fuel.

“This MOU for Ammonia Bunkering Safety for Container Carrier is an important milestone for social implementation of the use of ammonia as marine fuel on a global scale, and also a necessary step toward the realisation of the Integrated Project consisting of the construction of a global ammonia supply chain and the development of ammonia-fuelled ships by ITOCHU and its partner companies,” the firm said in a statement. 

A joint study that will be carried out under the MOU is a successive phase of the existing Joint Study Framework launched in 2021 by 34 companies and organizations including ITOCHU and Joint Study Framework for Ammonia Bunkering Safety launched in 2022 by 16 companies and organizations including ITOCHU, and focused on discussion and study of safety issues of ammonia bunkering to ammonia-fueled container carriers among experts from port authorities, container liner operators, bunkering related players and shipping company. 

A key subject of the joint study under this MOU for Ammonia Bunkering Safety for Container Carrier is the safety assessment for simultaneous operations of container cargo operations and ammonia bunkering in a container terminal, which is generally required for container carriers to achieve operational efficiencies.

ITOCHU said it is promoting a development of ammonia-fueled container carriers with potential partners following the development of ammonia-fuelled bulk carrier, which obtained Approval in Principle in 2022. ITOCHU will accelerate the development of an ammonia-fueled container carrier based on findings of this MOU for Ammonia Bunkering Safety for Container Carrier and plans to bring it to the international shipping market in late 2020s.

ITOCHU will accelerate the development of sustainable energy systems through these initiatives and ensure its contributions to the SDGs and improvement of related efforts, one of the basic policies laid out in its new medium-term management plan, as the company pursues a low-carbon society.

The eight companies and organisations are; Algeciras Bay Port Authority, Spain; Port of Rotterdam, Netherlands; CMA CGM, France; A.P.Moller Maersk A/S, Denmark; Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Japan; Pavilion Energy Singapore, Singapore; TotalEnergies Marine Fuels, Singapore; and ITOCHU. 

Related: Itochu-led joint study of ammonia as an alternative marine fuel expands to 34 players
Related: 23 industry players participate in joint study of ammonia as an alternative marine fuel
Related: Singapore: Pavilion Energy, MOL, Total join Itochu and Vopak ammonia bunker fuel study
Related: Spain: Itochu, Peninsula enter MOU for joint development of ammonia bunkering in Gibraltar Strait
Related: Japan: “K” Line, ITOCHU and partners receive ClassNK AiP for ammonia-fuelled bulk carrier

Photo credit: Itochu Corporation
Published: 28 September, 2023

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