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Methanol

New MI study: EU regulations will create level playing field for methanol bunker fuel

Paper by Dr Jeroen Dierick concludes FuelEU Maritime and ETS will progressively incentivise adoption of renewable fuels, enhancing the business case for bio- and e-methanol.

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Methanol Institute: Progress and milestones in methanol adoption (Week 49, 2 to 8 Dec 2024)

A new White Paper released on Wednesday (25 September) concluded that the FuelEU Maritime Regulation and EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) will create a level playing field for bio- and e-methanol, making them economically competitive compared to fossil marine fuels.

The paper, titled Economic value of methanol for shipping under FuelEU Maritime and EU ETS, was prepared for the Methanol Institute by Dr Jeroen Dierickx, an energy and fuel expert at iDefossilise.

Under the EU’s Fit for 55 regulatory package, vessel operators are incentivized to transition to these sustainable fuels through significant penalties levied on continued fossil fuel use. For fuel producers, the regulations offer a stable, long-term framework from 2024 to 2050, paving the way for secure investment opportunities in the maritime sector.

Gregory Dolan, CEO of the Methanol Institute, stated: “The study confirms the profound impact of regulations on the demand for methanol as a marine fuel.”

“The findings indicate that the emerging EU regulatory framework is robust enough to enhance the business case for low-carbon and renewable methanol fuels and fuel blends, supporting the transition to a sustainable maritime industry.’’

Key findings of the study:

  • Regulatory penalties and costs: The FuelEU Maritime Regulation sets targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from the maritime sector and imposes increasingly severe penalties on fossil fuels such as Very Low Sulfur Fuel Oil (VLSFO). Non-compliance costs for vessel owners will escalate from EUR 39 per tonne in 2025 to EUR 1,997 per tonne by 2050.
  • EU ETS implementation: Regulatory costs under the EU ETS carbon emission trading scheme that also covers the maritime sector, are phased in from 40% in 2024 to 100% in 2026. With a projected market price of EUR 100 for CO2 emission allowances, the additional cost for VLSFO is estimated at EUR 321 per tonne.
  • Compliance options: To avoid these penalties, vessel owners can use bio- or e-methanol, or blends of fossil and sustainable methanol as viable compliance options and encourage the development of a sustainable methanol supply chain.
  • Price estimates: The analysis forecasts the average maximum price for bio-methanol to be EUR 1,193 per tonne from 2025-2050. For e-methanol, prices are estimated at EUR 2,238 per tonne from 2025-2033, decreasing to EUR 1,325 per tonne from 2034-2050 when the reward factor for using renewable fuels of non-biological origin (RFNBO) expires in 2034. Including EU ETS costs, these prices rise by EUR 150 per tonne for both fuels.
  • Fuel blends: Every five years, the FuelEU Maritime greenhouse gas emission targets increase, from 2% in 2025 to 80% by 2050.  These targets can be met by blending bio- or e-methanol with conventional natural-gas based methanol, increasing from 14% bio-methanol and 7% e-methanol in 2025 to 28% bio-methanol and 25% e-methanol in 2035, and fully 100% bio-methanol and 91% e-methanol by 2050.
  • Economic viability: Both bio- and e-methanol show significant economic potential under the new regulations. The FuelEU Maritime Regulation and EU ETS are expected to effectively promote the adoption of these sustainable fuels in maritime shipping.

MI said the study marked an important milestone for the maritime sector, providing a clear pathway for companies to align with regulatory frameworks while transitioning to sustainable fuel options. 

“It further provides an investment timeline for producers to align production of conventional and renewable methanol with projected demand,” it added.

Note: Download the full study from here.

 

Photo credit: Methanol Institute
Published: 27 September, 2024 

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Alternative Fuels

LR, China’s MARIC unveil tanker concept ready for three future bunker fuels

Both secured AiP for a new 114,000 DWT product and crude oil tanker designed to accommodate future conversion to LNG, methanol or ammonia.

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LR, China’s MARIC unveil tanker concept ready for three future bunker fuels

Lloyd’s Register (LR) and the Marine Design and Research Institute of China (MARIC) on Thursday (3 September) have secured Approval in Principle (AiP) for a new 114,000 DWT product and crude oil tanker designed to accommodate future conversion to LNG, methanol or ammonia.

Announced at SMM 2026, the concept addresses one of the biggest investment challenges facing shipping today: the need to develop vessels and capabilities that can support a range of alternative fuel options and pathways as technologies, infrastructure and regulations evolve.

While LNG is already a mature fuel pathway, methanol and ammonia remain at an earlier stage of development, with questions around global fuel availability, infrastructure development, economics and long-term adoption.

The 114,000 DWT tanker concept has been designed as a product and crude oil carrier that can accommodate future conversion to LNG, methanol or ammonia as technologies, regulations and fuel supply chains mature. By incorporating conversion readiness at the design stage, the concept aims to reduce future retrofit complexity and provide owners with greater confidence when planning long-term fleet investments.

The design concept was reviewed against LR’s July 2026 class rules and regulations, including requirements relating to ships using gases and other low-flashpoint fuels, alongside relevant IACS Common Structural Rules for oil tankers. Final classification and statutory approval remain subject to full compliance with all applicable rules and regulations.

Theo Kourmpelis, Global Business Director for Tankers, Lloyd’s Register, said: “Shipowners are being asked to make major investment decisions today despite continued uncertainty around which fuels will dominate in the decades ahead. Alternative fuel solutions each offer potential pathways to compliance, but fuel infrastructure, regulation and economics continue to evolve at different speeds around the world.

“Designs that preserve flexibility will be critical in helping owners manage risk while preparing for multiple future scenarios.”

Si Nan, Marine & Offshore Marketing Department Vice Director, MARIC, said: “As the industry explores different decarbonisation pathways, shipowners need vessel designs that can adapt alongside technological and regulatory developments. This concept was developed specifically to provide greater fuel flexibility and long-term resilience, allowing owners to respond to changing market requirements without being locked into a single fuel strategy.

“Receiving Approval in Principle from Lloyd’s Register is an important milestone that validates the design concept and supports its future development.”

 

Photo credit: Lloyd’s Register
Published: 4 September, 2026

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Alternative Fuels

DNV: Alternative-fuelled vessel orders hit highest monthly level since October 2024

LNG-fuelled vessels accounted for the vast majority of August activity while the strong summer performance marked a significant acceleration in ordering activity after a relatively slow start to the year.

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DNV: Alternative-fuelled vessel orders hit highest monthly level since October 2024

Latest data from classification society DNV’s Alternative Fuels Insight (AFI) platform alternative-fuelled vessel ordering was strong in August, with 52 new vessels added to the platform.

This is the highest monthly total since October 2024 and follows another active month in July, when 47 vessels were added to the database.

LNG-fuelled vessels accounted for the vast majority of August activity, with 46 orders recorded. The container segment led the way with 30 orders, while the car carrier segment contributed a further 12 LNG-fuelled vessels. In addition, four ethanol-fuelled bulk carriers and two hydrogen-powered bulk carriers were added during the month, as well as one LNG bunker vessel.

The strong summer performance marked a significant acceleration in ordering activity after a relatively slow start to the year. In total, 242 alternative-fuelled vessel orders have been placed in the first eight months of 2026, representing a 27% increase compared with the same period in 2025.

LNG remains the dominant fuel choice, accounting for 63% of all alternative-fuelled vessel orders registered so far this year. Container vessels represent the largest share of these LNG orders (59%), followed by car carriers (30%).

Jason Stefanatos, Global Decarbonization Director at DNV Maritime, said: “The past two months have been particularly strong for alternative-fuelled vessel ordering, with August recording the highest monthly total we’ve seen since October 2024. This has helped lift year-to-date orders to a level well above the same period last year.

“LNG remains the leading fuel choice, driven largely by activity in the container and car carrier segments. These sectors have been among the earliest adopters of alternative fuels, supported by predictable liner operations and increasing demand from cargo owners to reduce emissions across supply chains. 

“For many owners, LNG offers a combination of emissions reductions, fuel availability and future flexibility while the longer-term fuel landscape continues to evolve. 

“At the same time, the latest figures include orders for ethanol- and hydrogen-fuelled vessels, highlighting that owners continue to explore a range of decarbonization pathways. Different segments are making different fuel choices, but the overall level of activity demonstrates continued investment in lower-emission shipping.”

Screenshot 2026 09 04 at 12.29.26 PM Screenshot 2026 09 04 at 12.29.36 PM

 

Photo credit: DNV
Published: 4 September, 2026

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Methanol

GENA Solutions: Total renewable and low-carbon methanol project pipeline increases from 61.8 to 62.2 Mt by 2032

Information shared by MI – the Global Methanol Alliance meant to assist the maritime industry in the adoption of methanol as a mainstream marine fuel heading into IMO 2030/2050.

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MI – the Global Methanol Alliance recently shared with Manifold Times the renewable and low-carbon methanol project pipeline August 2026 release produced by GENA Solutions Oy.

Information from the release is meant to provide the bunkering publication’s readers with insight on renewable methanol availability, and to assist the maritime industry in the adoption of methanol as a mainstream marine fuel heading into IMO 2030/2050.

Key takeaways from GENA’s August 2026 Methanol release are as follows:

  • As of the end of August 2026, GENA tracks 286 renewable and low carbon methanol projects, representing 62.2 Mt of capacity by 2032. This includes 25.1 Mt of e-methanol, 25.9 Mt of biomethanol, and 11.2 Mt of low carbon methanol capacity.
  • Two new projects were added to Project Navigator last month, while one frozen project was excluded. The project pipeline increased by 0.4 Mt month on month.
  • Four new offtake agreements were registered during August, including two biomethanol and two e-methanol agreements.
  • About 8% of the cumulative renewable methanol project pipeline capacity has reached FID so far, with another 11% at the FEED stage.
  • Considering the current uncertainty around regulatory developments and demand growth, GENA projects that renewable methanol capacity could reach 6 Mt to 12 Mt by 2031.

Note: The full article can be viewed here.

Renewable methanol project pipeline 4 Renewable methanol by feedstock 8 Renewable methanol by region 7 Project pipeline by status Methanol capacity scenarios

 

Photo credit: GENA Solutions
Published: 4 September, 2026

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