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Bio bunker fuels promise cleaner shipping but supply is limited, says Rystad Energy

Company gave an insight on the capacity to produce biofuels falling behind the rising demand of biofuels and urging shipowners to act quickly in securing dependable biofuel supplies.

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Advisory, research and energy intelligence company Rystad Energy on Tuesday (27 May) gave an insight on the capacity to produce biofuels falling behind the rising demand of biofuels and urging shipowners to act quickly in securing dependable biofuel supplies: 

The shipping industry’s target of net-zero carbon emissions has boosted demand for biofuels, which are compatible with existing ship engines and therefore can be adopted relatively easily. However, Rystad Energy analysis shows that the capacity to produce biofuels—such as biodiesel and bio-liquefied natural gas (bio-LNG)—is not keeping up. Unconstrained biodiesel demand exceeds total supply and the outlook for bio-LNG is equally restricted, in both allocation and production.

Biofuels could be a more cost-effective alternative to traditional marine fuels such as very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO), particularly when aligned with the low-emission thresholds established by the International Maritime Organization’s Greenhouse Gas Fuel Intensity (GFI) standard. In a scenario without supply constraints, global demand for biodiesel in shipping could exceed 140 million tonnes of fuel oil equivalent by 2028. However, even under ideal conditions, total biofuel production capacity is expected to peak at around 120 million tonnes. When sustainability criteria are applied—prioritising cleaner, second-generation biofuels—this potential supply drops sharply to just 40 million tonnes. Taking into account production risks, actual output levels, and competition from other sectors, the volume of biofuels realistically available for shipping diminishes even further.

“Demand for biodiesel, if unrestricted, outstrips the total supply. The situation with bio-LNG is also constrained, with challenges for both production and allocation capacity. While projected demand is a relatively modest at 16 million tonnes in fuel oil equivalent by 2028, the apparent surplus in supply is misleading. Over 84% of global biomethane is already committed to electricity generation, with an additional 10% allocated to road transport. This leaves only 6% available for all other sectors, including maritime, making actual access far more limited than the numbers suggest,” said Junlin Yu, Senior Data Analyst, Shipping at Rystad Energy.

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This is a supply crunch that the shipping industry cannot afford to overlook. While future-facing fuels such as ammonia and methanol offer long-term promise, they come with high costs and infrastructure challenges, leaving many shipowners hesitant and waiting for clearer market signals.

In the meantime, biofuels stand out as the most practical route to meet the IMO’s tightening emissions standards. However, this transitional solution is fragile. Without careful planning and proactive action, the bridge to compliance could quickly erode.

“Biodiesel and bio-LNG can be cost-effective under the IMO Net-Zero Framework, but only if their lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are low enough to qualify for IMO incentives. However, demand for bio-LNG in maritime transport far exceeds current production, revealing a significant supply gap. To navigate the changing regulatory landscape, shipowners must act quickly, securing dependable biofuel supplies and aligning with GFI targets. In the race for cleaner shipping, success hinges not just on choosing the right fuel, but on securing it ahead of competitors,” added Yu.

Biofuels are currently more cost-effective than traditional marine fuels, especially when they meet strict low-carbon standards. While blending biofuels at 30% or 50% can help meet emission targets in the short term, fully switching to 100% low-emission biofuels offers the greatest long-term savings and rewards. Notably, bio-LNG stands out as a cheaper option than biodiesel, particularly when supported by government subsidies, making it a promising fuel for the shipping industry’s transition to cleaner energy.

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Note: Rystad Energy is hosting a webinar titled ‘Full Steam Ahead – LNG, Biofuels, and the Future of Maritime Energy’ on 28 May. Rystad Energy CEO Jarand Rystad will join DNV Maritime CEO Knut Ørbeck-Nilssen to explore how maritime leaders can chart a course toward net-zero emissions. Registration for the event can be found here

 

Photo credit: Venti Views on Unsplash and Rystad Energy
Published: 28 May, 2025

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Alternative Fuels

MPA and MSC ink MoU to support adoption of alternative bunker fuels

MPA and MSC will explore new routes and services to strengthen connectivity, support the adoption of alternative marine fuels such as bio-LNG, and advance technologies to improve vessel energy efficiency.

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MPA and MSC ink MoU to support adoption of alternative bunker fuels

The Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore (MPA) on Wednesday (3 June) said it signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with MSC Mediterranean Shipping Company to strengthen collaboration in maritime decarbonisation, digitalisation, innovation, and manpower development. 

The MoU was signed on 25 May 2026 by Mr Ang Wee Keong, Chief Executive of MPA, and Mr Soren Toft, Chief Executive Officer of MSC.

The MoU underscores the shared commitment of MPA and MSC to foster a sustainable, digital, and future-ready maritime sector, while enhancing MSC’s operational and business activities in Singapore. This year also marks the 30th anniversary of MSC establishing its Asia Regional Office and local office in Singapore.

Under the MoU, MPA and MSC will explore new routes and services to strengthen connectivity, support the adoption of alternative marine fuels such as bio-LNG, and advance technologies to improve vessel energy efficiency and operational performance.

MPA and MSC will also collaborate on maritime digitalisation initiatives to improve operational efficiency, including streamlining vessel arrivals and port operations. 

On manpower development, MSC will support internship and scholarship opportunities through Singapore Maritime Foundation’s Maritime Outreach Network (MaritimeONE) platform, an industry-led tripartite partnership comprising industry, government and institutes of higher learning that aims to raise awareness of the maritime industry and attract quality talent into the maritime sector.

Mr Ang Wee Keong, Chief Executive of MPA, said: “This partnership reflects the strong collaboration between MPA and MSC in driving sustainability and digitalisation in the maritime sector. By working together on decarbonisation, operational efficiency and talent development, we aim to strengthen Maritime Singapore’s position as a trusted and future-ready global maritime hub.”

Mr Soren Toft, Chief Executive Officer of MSC, said: “Singapore is a strategically important hub for MSC and a key gateway to the broader Asia region. As we mark 30 years in Singapore, this MOU reinforces our long-term commitment to strengthening our presence here. MSC and Singapore are closely aligned on the priorities shaping the future of global shipping, and we look forward to deepening this partnership to drive the continued growth and resilience of the maritime industry.”

 

Photo credit: Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore
Published: 4 June, 2026

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Biofuel

BHP and GCMD trial multi-feedstock B100 bio bunker fuel on bulk carrier

Bio-blend in the BHP and GCMD pilot is being used on a BHP-chartered bulk carrier “Berge Lyngor”, which was bunkered in Singapore in early May.

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BHP and GCMD trial multi-feedstock B100 bio bunker fuel on bulk carrier

BHP and the Global Centre for Maritime Decarbonisation (GCMD) on Wednesday (3 June) said they have blended biofuels from two distinct feedstocks—used cooking oil and waste animal fats —and introduced the lower-emissions marine fuel into a BHP-chartered bulk carrier as part of a pilot project.

The bio-blend in the BHP and GCMD pilot is being used on a BHP-chartered bulk carrier Berge Lyngor, owned and operated by Berge Bulk, transporting BHP iron ore from Western Australia to China. When run on bio-blend, the vessel has the potential to reduce well-to-wake greenhouse gas emissions by approximately 79 per cent per voyage compared to sailing on very low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO).

The vessel bunkered in Singapore in early May with a B100 bio-blend comprising 50 percent tallow-derived biodiesel, sourced and supplied by HAMR Energy, and 50 per cent used cooking oil (UCOME) supplied by Mitsui & Co Energy Trading Singapore (METS).

Mitsui also blended the fuel and Dan-Bunkering coordinated and executed the bunkering operation, which was performed by Global Energy’s barge MT Maple.

The BHP and GCMD pilot will assess how biofuels from multiple feedstocks can be blended, handled, and introduced under real-world operating conditions using existing used cooking oil bunkering infrastructure.

At the same time, insights from this pilot will help identify solutions to challenges related to fuel quality, handling, traceability, and onboard vessel performance.

Biofuels for global shipping today rely heavily on used cooking oil – a feedstock whose availability is approaching its projected limits. Biofuel from waste animal fats presents a promising option to expand the supply of lower-emissions marine fuels.

The outcomes of the pilot are expected to shed light on the practical steps to integrate biofuel blends from different feedstocks into existing supply chains. The diversity of biofuels will provide shipowners and operators with greater flexibility to optimise fuel procurement based on cost, availability, and lifecycle emissions performance.

Biofuels derived from different feedstocks can exhibit varying properties that may impact operations, including potential corrosion from oxidation, fuel system clogging caused by wax formation, which this pilot aims to assess.

The pilot will trace and verify the biofuel blend’s integrity aimed at bolstering confidence in emissions reductions reporting. The pilot will also provide insights into how robust tracing can support future marine fuel supply chains where biofuels from multiple feedstocks with varying lifecycle greenhouse gas emissions footprints are blended together.

This project is co-funded by the Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore under the Maritime Innovation and Technology Fund (MINT).

 

Photo credit: Global Centre for Maritime Decarbonisation
Published: 3 June, 2026

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Biofuel

NYK starts one-year B100 bio bunker fuel trial on car carrier

In this trial, NYK will operate a car carrier continuously on B100 for one year to evaluate the impact on engines, fuel supply systems, and operational practices.

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NYK starts one-year B100 bio bunker fuel trial on car carrier

Japanese shipping firm NYK on Tuesday (2 June) said it has commenced a one-year long-term trial involving the continuous use of 100% biofuel (B100) on an NYK-operated car carrier. 

In this trial, NYK will operate a car carrier continuously on B100 for one year to evaluate the impact on engines, fuel supply systems, and operational practices. High-purity biofuels such as B100 are known to be susceptible to degradation from oxygen, light, and heat, raising concerns about the stability of such fuels during long-term use.

In this trial, the biofuel primarily comprises FAME (Fatty Acid Methyl Ester) derived from used cooking oil and similar feedstocks.

The initiative is designed to evaluate the fuel’s effects on the vessel’s equipment and verify operational safety under real-world conditions. 

Through this effort, NYK seeks to accumulate technical expertise that will support the broader use of high-purity biofuels and further accelerate efforts to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

NYK has been advancing the use of biofuels through various initiatives. In 2024, the company conducted a trial using biofuel blend B24 and subsequently expanded practical usage to B30. However, the company said there remains limited global experience with the long-term continuous use of B100.

“By collecting long-term operational data through this trial, NYK aims to accumulate valuable technical insights to support both the safe operation of vessels and the wider adoption of high-purity biofuels,” it said. 

 

Photo credit: NYK
Published: 3 June, 2026

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