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IMO 2020

Argus Media viewpoint: IMO 2020 to have delayed price effect

Full impact of IMO 2020 is likely to be felt in March, once the current global stockpile of LSFO has dwindled.

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Kayla Meyertons of global energy and commodity price reporting agency Argus Media on Friday (3 January) issued a report highlighting the fuel oil market is unlikely to see large price swings on low sulphur fuel oil (LSFO), given minor price changes on the IMO 2020 compliant fuel in the weeks leading up to the change:

The International Maritime Organization (IMO) as of 1 January capped the sulphur content of marine fuels to 0.5pc from the prior 3.5pc level. The new regulation is referred to as IMO 2020.

Most market participants expect IMO 2020-related demand to cause prices to rise in January-February and tighten the availability of low sulphur fuel oil (LSFO), which has a 0.5pc sulphur content. The full impact of IMO 2020 is more likely to be felt in March, as some expect a spike in distillate and sweet crude demand once the current global stockpile of LSFO has dwindled.

Global residual fuel oil hubs such as Fujairah, Rotterdam and Singapore are reported to have large volumes of IMO-compliant fuel available. But US Gulf LSFO values are 31pc higher than a year ago, while HSFO values are down by 14pc as the market prepared for IMO 2020.

Most US Gulf coast refiners in 2019 were in the process or had completed making LSFO blends that will comply with the IMO regulation. These blends can include various combinations of HSFO with products like MGO, 0.2pc sulphur heating oil and 0.0015pc sulphur ultra-low sulphur diesel (ULSD). Light and heavy crudes could trade at a wider differential because lighter crudes are highly sought by Gulf blenders to make IMO-compliant fuel.

Diesel cracks could rise significantly in the event shipowners experience issues using LSFO, either because LSFO is more expensive than marine-gasoil (MGO), an alternative IMO-compliant fuel, due to incompatibility of new blends. Mixing different batches of LSFO blends with varying aromatic and paraffinic components on ships can lead to sludge formation or asphaltene separation, both of which have the potential to seriously damage ship engines. According to some traders, most Gulf blenders have completed compatibility testing on their blends, but participants have expressed divided opinions on the degree to which shipowners should trust new blends as they enter the market.

It remains to be seen how LSFO will contend with marine-gasoil (MGO), a blend of lower sulphur distillate fuel, in the Gulf market, after averaging a $111/mt discount to MGO in December. For a global perspective, physical LSFO priced at a $5-$10/t premium to MGO spot assessments in Singapore for the week ending on 20 December, after pricing at discounts to MGO for November and December.Panama sales of LSFO rose to a premium over MGO on 13 December, the first instance of a premium of LSFO levels to MGO in the Americas thus far. But with MGO typically being a more expensive distillate blend, most market participants expect it to remain an emergency-only option in the US Gulf coast.

Other alternatives for shipowners include installing expensive scrubbers, exhaust cleaning equipment which remove sulphur oxides from the ship's engine, enabling the use of heavy fuel oil. Roughly 3,000 vessels have installed sulphur scrubbers globally, according to Argus consulting data.

HSFO is not predicted by market participants to fade out of the US market entirely, but rather remain through scrubber use or non-compliance. Global HSFO supply has already been curbed as refiners have reduced their production.

The power generation market is an alternative destination for HSFO, particularly in the US northeast. Some Gulf refiners with the ability to process heavier sulphur fuel oils through their cokers to turn into cheaper refined products and sell worldwide may also draw on on HSFO. As a result, imports of HSFO continue to flow into the US Gulf from places like Russia and Iraq. HSFO prices first dropped below $40/bl in mid-October and have since averaged at $37.97/bl over the last two and a half months. Traders expect HSFO to find a price floor in the first quarter.

Photo credit and source: Argus Media
Published: 6 January, 2020 
 

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Ammonia

AM Green plans to build green ammonia plant at Indian port

Initiative also includes development of green ammonia handling, storage and bunkering infrastructure, pilot bunkering operations, safety procedures and training programmes, says VOC Port Authority.

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VO Chidambaranar (VOC) Port Authority on Friday (29 May) said it has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with India’s ammonia producer AM Green Ammonia to collaborate in the development of a green ammonia production plant.

The plant will have a capacity of one million tonnes per annum (MTPA) at Tuticorin.

The initiative also includes development of green ammonia handling, storage and bunkering infrastructure, pilot bunkering operations, safety procedures and training programmes. 

The project is expected to support the development of green fuel corridors connecting VOC Port with major ports in Europe and Asia, thereby strengthening India’s position in the global green fuels value chain.

VOC Port also signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Bureau Veritas (India) Pvt. Ltd., to collaborate on Green Port certification, emissions accounting, ESG reporting, safety validation, development of green bunkering practices, and establishment of a Centre of Excellence for green fuels and sustainability.

The port also plans for an upcoming 750 m³ green methanol bunkering facility.

 

Photo credit: Naveed Ahmed on Unsplash
Published: 3 June, 2026

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Port & Regulatory

Study: Major drop in ship sulphur emissions confirmed following IMO regulations

National Centre for Atmospheric Science study found that the average sulphur content in ship fuel dropped nearly tenfold in open ocean areas following IMO’s 2020 regulation.

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Recent global regulations have significantly reduced sulphur emissions from ships, helping to improve air quality in coastal regions – confirmed by a recent international study led by researchers at the National Centre for Atmospheric Science. 

The research, published in Environmental Science: Atmospheres, used aircraft and ground-based instruments to measure sulphur dioxide and nitrogen oxides emitted by ships in the North-East Atlantic and European coastal waters between 2019 and 2023.

The team found that the average sulphur content in ship fuel dropped nearly tenfold in open ocean areas following the International Maritime Organization’s 2020 regulation, which capped sulphur content in marine fuel at 0.5%. 

Before the change, many ships exceeded the previous 3.5% limit. After 2020, only a small number of ships were found to breach the new standard.

In European sulphur Emission Control Areas (SECAs), such as the English Channel and the Port of Tyne, sulphur levels were even lower – well below the stricter 0.1% limit. Interestingly, ports outside these zones, like Valencia in Spain, also showed low sulphur levels, likely due to EU rules requiring cleaner fuel when ships are docked for extended periods.

This is the first study to use aircraft-based measurements and predictions from the Ship Traffic Emission Assessment Model (STEAM3) to assess ship emissions outside of sulphur control zones since the 2020 regulation came into effect. The findings support the widely held view that ships now emit around seven times less sulphur than before the rule change – an important step toward cleaner air and healthier coastal environments.

Note: The research, titled ‘SO2 and NOx emissions from ships in North-East Atlantic waters: in situ measurements and comparison with an emission model’ can be found here. 

 

Photo credit: shraga kopstein on Unsplash
Published: 8 December, 2025

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Interview

IBIA Annual Convention 2025: ‘Exciting times’ for post IMO 2020 bunker suppliers, states Equatorial

Choong Sheen Mao, Chief Operating Officer, Equatorial, describes to Manifold Times the pre/post IMO 2020 challenges and evolution of bunker suppliers.

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The International Bunkering Industry Association (IBIA) will be hosting its flagship Annual Convention in Hong Kong at the Hong Kong Convention Exhibition & Convention Centre between 18 to 20 November 2025, as part of Hong Kong Maritime Week.

Choong Sheen Mao, Chief Operating Officer, Equatorial Marine Fuel Management Services (Equatorial), speaks to bunkering publication Manifold Times about the challenges of a post IMO 2020 bunker supplier.

MT: How does Equatorial continue to offer customer assurance and maintenance of marine fuel quality to ISO8217 standards despite increasing complexity of bunker fuel blends?

We maintain our focus to provide compliant, quality and competitively priced products to our customers. There is no shortcut. We source our products from a wide range of cargo producers and suppliers. We continue to be strict and vigilant with our testing programme for our products before delivering them to our customers. Equatorial has deepened our engagement with the wider industry to have a better and up-to-date understanding of the existing and new marine fuels.

MT: Can you share the evolution of commercial marine fuel procurement, blending and trading strategies on the back of increasing fuel types (pre/post IMO 2020)?

Pre IMO 2020, the main types of marine fuel procured and consumed by vessels were high-sulphur fuel oil, marine diesel oil and marine gas oil. Trading strategies were therefore closely linked to that within the oil industry.

However, many of the new fuel types are from other industries. For example, biofuels, methanol and ammonia are mainly products from the chemical and agriculture industries. There are marked differences between these industries and the energy industry (in particular, the marine fuels industry). LNG is from the gas industry which is distinct from the oil industry.

Without an existing liquid paper market for many of these commodities (especially as a marine fuel), the price risk management is less straightforward. Furthermore, commodity prices are no longer the sole consideration for price itself. The price of compliance must be considered. This could range from guaranteeing the origin of the marine fuel, its sulphur properties as well as its carbon intensity. The list goes on.

MT: Operational wise, what are the changing role and responsibilities of a bunker supplier to date, compared to before IMO 2020?

The role and responsibility of a bunker supplier have evolved. Fundamentally, it has been about providing quality marine fuels at competitive prices. Quantity assurance has been a critical concern which led to the mandatory implementation of the mass flow meter system for bunkering in the Port of Singapore. Interestingly, due to the nature of credit terms in the bunker industry, bunker suppliers also performed the role of “bankers” by extending favourable credit terms to shipowners and charterers.

These days, post IMO 2020, things have become even more complicated. Today, a bunker supplier retains the abovementioned roles and responsibilities, and much more – it has to ensure compliance with a plethora of rules and regulations. Compliance not only with sulphur cap requirements, but with international and regional sanctions and restrictions unrelated to the quality of the marine fuel itself. In fact, especially with alternative low- and zero-carbon marine fuels, this means compliance with standards, rules and regulations on sustainability such as the European Renewable Energy Directive and/or International Sustainability and Carbon Certification. There is also the need to comply with increasingly stringent safety regulations on both conventional and alternative marine fuels.

In addition to the above, a post IMO 2020 bunker supplier is still expected to supply compliant and quality fuel at competitive prices.

MT: Equatorial is Singapore’s largest local-born supplier; what is the next big thing for the company?

Equatorial continues to adapt and improve with the times, while maintaining its core values – Integrity, Teamwork, Commitment, Proficiency and Quality, and Safety and Environment. The bunker industry is a highly competitive one, and it is our intention to keep our competitive edge and remain relevant. This means that we have had to step out of our comfort zone and embrace the two mega trends of our time – digitalisation and decarbonisation.

We have been early adopters and developers of the electronic bunkering note as part of our own digital bunkering efforts. We have diversified our product offering to include low carbon marine fuels and are proud to be one of the pioneers for bunkering B100 biofuels earlier this year. This was made possible by the arrival of our IMO Type II chemical and oil bunker tankers. These same bunker tankers are also capable for carrying and delivering methanol. Equatorial has invested in an LNG bunkering vessel (LBV) newbuilding that is set to be delivered in Q3 2027. We are also involved in a study to develop low- or zero-carbon ammonia bunkering in Singapore.

These are exciting times.

Note: Choong Sheen Mao is amongst panellists featured in ‘Session Three: Bunker Sellers Panel’ at the IBIA Annual Convention 2025.

Join the Conversation

With over 300 delegates expected, the IBIA Annual Convention 2025 is set to be a defining moment for the marine fuels industry. Registration is now open via the IBIA Annual Convention website.

 

Photo credit: Manifold Times
Published: 31 October 2025

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