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Argus Media: USGC LNG-VLSFO discount to steady itself

Premium for US Gulf coast (USGC) very low-sulphur fuel oil to LNG is expected to linger but not widen this spring, maintaining interest in LNG as a bunkering fuel.

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The premium for US Gulf coast (USGC) very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) to LNG is expected to linger but not widen this spring, maintaining interest in LNG as a bunkering fuel.

24 April 2024

US Gulf coast LNG prices slipped from a premium to a discount to VLSFO in March 2023 and have remained there since. The discount surpassed 200/t VLSFO-equivalent in January (see chart). Both LNG and VLSFO prices are expected to remain under downward pressure due to high inventories, which could keep the current LNG discount steady.

The US winter natural gas withdrawal season ended with 39pc more natural gas in storage compared with the five-year average, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Henry Hub natural gas monthly average prices dropped below $2/mmBtu in February, for the first time since September 2020, Argus data showed. The EIA expects the US will produce less natural gas on average in the second and third quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2024. Despite lower production, the US will have the most natural gas in storage on record when the winter withdrawal season begins in November, says the EIA. As a result, the agency forecasts the Henry Hub spot price to average less than $2/mmBtu in the second quarter before "increasing slightly" in the third quarter. EIA's forecast for all of 2024 averages about $2.20/mmBtu.

US Gulf coast VLSFO is facing downward price pressure as demand falls and increased refinery activity signals a potential supply build. Rising Gulf coast refinery activity was likely behind some of the drop in prices. Gulf coast refinery utilization last week rose to 91.4pc, the highest in 12 weeks and up by 0.9 percentage points from the prior week. US Gulf coast suppliers are also eyeing strong fuel oil price competition from eastern hemisphere ports such as Singapore and Zhoushan, China, importing cheap Russian residual fuel oil.

In general, LNG's substantial discount to VLSFO has kept interest in LNG for bunkering from ship owners with LNG-burning vessels high. The EIA discontinued publishing US bunker sales statistics with the last data available for 2020. But data from the Singapore Maritime & Port Authority, where the LNG–VLSFO discount widened to over $200/t VLSFOe in February, showed Singapore LNG for bunkering demand increase 11.4 times to 75,900t in the first quarter compared with 6,700t in the first quarter of 2023 and 110,900t for full year 2022.

By Stefka Wechsler

 

Photo credit and source: Argus Media
Published: 24 April 2024

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Methanol

China: CHIMBUSCO Jiangsu completes methanol bunkering operation in Taizhou

Firm successfully delivered 79.5 metric tonnes of methanol bunker fuel to container ship “NCL VESTLAND” using a mobile methanol bunkering skid at Taizhou Sanfu Marine Engineering.

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China: CHIMBUSCO Jiangsu completes methanol bunkering operation in Taizhou

CHIMBUSCO Jiangsu on Tuesday (3 December) said it successfully refuelled the new methanol dual-fuel powered 1,300TEU container ship NCL VESTLAND at Taizhou Sanfu Marine Engineering.

The total amount of methanol bunker fuel delivered to the boxship was 79.5 metric tonnes.

CHIMBUSCO Jiangsu said the implementation of bunkering operation marked a major breakthrough for the company in the application of alternative fuels for ships, marking its ability to supply methanol marine fuel to ships on a regular basis.

A mobile methanol bunkering skid jointly developed by CHIMBUSCO Jiangsu and COSCO (Lianyungang) Liquid Loading & Unloading Equipment was used for the bunkering operation, which was successfully completed in 2.5 hours. 

In a separate statement, COSCO Shipping said the bunkering operation represented CHIMBUSCO Jiangsu’s first marine methanol fuel supply onshore.

The mobile methanol filling skid operates using the pump as its power source to facilitate simultaneous unloading and refuelling tasks. 

This skid includes several key functional modules, each of which is highly integrated. This integration ensures a safe and efficient process for transferring methanol fuel from tankers to a vessel’s fuel bunker, while also enabling seamless operation and intelligent management. 

The mobile methanol filling skid offers flexibility, requires low initial investment, and boasts a rapid bunkering rate of 180 cubic metres (m3) per hour. 

It stands as an optimal solution for methanol bunkering in the era before widespread adoption of methanol bunkering vessels. Additionally, it can provide bunkering support for shipyards to test new vessels and meet the bunkering requirements of the shipyard,” it added. 

 

Photo credit: CHIMBUSCO Jiangsu
Published: 6 December, 2024

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LNG Bunkering

SEA-LNG: Invest more in LNG bunker vessels, supply and liquefaction infrastructure

LNG bunker market, while growing substantially, is lagging and concerns persist regarding the ability to supply the rapidly growing fleet of LNG-fuelled vessels.

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SEA-LNG: Invest more in LNG bunker vessels, supply and liquefaction infrastructure

Industry coalition SEA-LNG on Thursday (5 December) said that while the approximately 2,200 LNG-fuelled vessels and LNG carriers represent only ‘two minutes into the hour’ of the global fleet of approximately 60,000 deep sea vessels, it remains an adolescent fuel that is maturing significantly faster than other alternative bunker fuels. 

However, it said the LNG pathway still needs more investment, especially in landside facilities for liquefaction near ports, bio and synthetic methane production and bunkering capacity worldwide.

This year has witnessed unprecedented investment in the maturing and scaling of LNG from ship owners.  LNG is starting to dominate as the preferred future fuel pathway. 

However, the bunker market, while growing substantially, is lagging and concerns persist regarding the ability to supply the rapidly growing fleet of LNG-fuelled vessels.

Peter Keller, Chairman, SEA-LNG, said: “With high profile owners now choosing the LNG pathway, we anticipate this trend will continue and accelerate through 2025 and beyond.”

“As the various alternative fuel pathways mature, there is a growing realisation that, despite previous aspirations, some alternative fuel pathways – like the LNG pathway – are more practical and realistic than others.”

“While investment in newbuild LNG-fuelled ships is robust, we need to see the same for bunker vessels, supply and liquefaction infrastructure. As the LNG pathway continues to mature and the use of liquefied biomethane and eventually e-methane increases, the delivery of the fuel to vessels must be assured and the investment gap closed.”

Keller added: “There are approximately 60,000 deep sea ships on the water and, today, we’re looking at around 600 LNG capable ships afloat with a further 600 on order. There are another 1,000 LNG cargo carriers and bunker vessels of varying sizes.”

“While that’s a small percentage of the global fleet, as the clock ticks towards shipping’s emissions reduction targets, the LNG pathway is maturing far faster than other alternative fuels.”

According to DNV there are currently 54 methanol vessels and 2 ammonia vessels on the water.

There are aspects of LNG usage that are fully mature – safety for one. LNG is easy to transport, poses minimal, if any, risk to marine environments, has a low flammability range and is non-toxic. Effective regulations, standards and guidelines for safe operations are widespread, and LNG has been shipped around the world for almost 60 years without any major incidents at sea or in ports.

Keller continued: “When compared to traditional fuels, LNG is more of a teenager with all the growing pains, challenges and victories associated with adolescence.”

“But it is maturing all the time as the market continues to grow, new build orders continue to rise, and the LNG pathway with biomethane and eventually e-methane produced from renewable hydrogen, gains acceptance globally.”

“Shipping stakeholders are investing in LNG because it provides a low risk, incremental pathway for decarbonisation, starting now.  The other alternative fuels are basically toddlers by comparison.  And when it comes to safety, some are mere newborns!”

Another critical need in the maturing process during a period of increased regulation of carbon emissions is the adoption of standardised chain of custody models on a worldwide basis. 

Chain of custody models are becoming increasingly important to maritime decarbonisation as they provide mechanisms to verify that the fuels used are low carbon. 

Such verification creates investor confidence in new fuel supply chains and accelerates the transition to low-carbon fuels, enabling early adoption in conditions of limited supply. 

“They will create a market for green fuels by connecting buyers to fuel producers away from bunker ports enabling faster scaling and providing flexibility to shipping companies at lower cost,” SEA-LNG added.

 

Photo credit: SEA-LNG
Published: 6 December, 2024

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Bunker Fuel

Cost-efficient strategies can significantly cut price of FuelEU Maritime compliance, says DNV

Adoption of the most cost-effective strategy can result in savings of up to 16% or USD 21 million over a vessel’s lifetime compared to using Bio-MGO as a compliance option, according to new DNV white paper.

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Classification society DNV on Thursday (5 December) said compliance with FuelEU Maritime requirements will be expensive but applying certain strategies can significantly reduce the cost.

This was one of the main highlights of its latest white paper outlining FuelEU Maritime requirements and compliance strategies for shipowners. 

Effective from 1 January 2025, the rules mandate stringent greenhouse gas (GHG) emission intensity requirements for ships over 5,000 gross tonnage (GT) transporting cargo or passengers for commercial purposes in the EU/ EEA. GHG emissions are calculated from a well-to-wake perspective. In addition to emissions from onboard combustion, this calculation also includes emissions related to the extraction, cultivation, production, and transport of the fuel. 

The regulation includes provisions for crediting ships using wind-assisted propulsion.

The DNV paper provides shipowners with insights to reduce compliance expenses and avoid major penalties. It contains a comprehensive overview of the regulation, including a case study which highlights a range of different compliance strategies. 

This shows how the adoption of the most cost-effective strategy can result in savings of up to 16% or USD 21 million over a vessel’s lifetime compared to using Bio-MGO as a compliance option.

Knut Ørbeck-Nilssen, DNV Maritime CEO, said: “It is essential that shipowners understand the requirements and compliance options related to the FuelEU Maritime regulation to make informed business decisions. Adopting a cost-efficient strategy with the right combination of measures can help shipowners reach compliance at reduced costs.

“Just paying the penalty could prove a more costly option. All parties must understand their potential obligations and privileges, and how these might affect their commercial and compliance agreements. Crucial to this is verified emissions data, which can maintain operational and commercial integrity across the maritime value chain.”

The report provides recommendations for shipowners including securing long-term fuel agreements and implementing energy efficiency measures. It also recommends considering pooling as a mechanism for sharing and optimizing costs. This is underpinned by a call to begin preparations immediately. The report also highlights how, by leveraging digital tools, maritime stakeholders can access verified emissions data, a key factor in compliance and maintaining both operational and commercial integrity throughout the value chain.

A key point emphasized in the report is that the International Maritime Organization is also set to introduce similar regulations in the near future, with a net-zero framework expected to be adopted in the fall of 2025 and come into force around mid-2027.

It is absolutely essential that shipowners understand the requirements and compliance options related to the FuelEU Maritime regulation so that they are equipped to make informed business decisions. Adopting a cost-efficient strategy with the right combination of measures can help shipowners reach compliance and significantly reduce costs.

“Doing nothing and paying the penalty could prove to be a costly option. All parties must understand their potential obligations and privileges, and how these might affect their commercial and compliance agreements. Crucial to this is verified emissions data, which can maintain operational and commercial integrity across the maritime value chain.”

The report provides recommendations for shipowners including securing long-term fuel agreements and implementing energy efficiency measures. It also recommends considering pooling as a mechanism for sharing and optimizing costs. This is underpinned by a call to begin preparations immediately. The report also highlights how, by leveraging digital tools, maritime stakeholders can access verified emissions data, a key factor in compliance and maintaining both operational and commercial integrity throughout the value chain.

A key point emphasized in the report is that the International Maritime Organization is also set to introduce similar regulations in the near future, with a net-zero framework expected to be adopted in the second half of 2025 and come into force around mid-2027.

Note: The full whitepaper titled ‘FuelEU Maritime: Requirements, compliance strategies, and commercial impacts’ by DNV can be downloaded here.

 

Photo credit: DNV
Published: 6 December, 2024

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